Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.