Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Colon had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.