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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 12, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 2
Colon

Beltran (36'), Angileri (59'), Montiel (73' pen.)
Perez (25'), Martinez (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bernardi (45'), Aliendro (84')
Castro (32'), Delgado (49'), Goltz (57'), Aliendro (59')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between River Plate and Colon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawColon
63.51%21.49%14.99%
Both teams to score 46.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61%49.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56%71.43%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71%43.29%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88%45.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97%81.03%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 63.51%
    Colon 14.99%
    Draw 21.49%
River PlateDrawColon
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 6.15%
4-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 63.51%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.49%
0-1 @ 5.35%
1-2 @ 4.06%
0-2 @ 2.13%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 14.99%

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