Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.