Just two points and four goals from five league games sees Sampdoria arrive in Turin as serious outsiders and bereft of confidence at either end of the field.
Juventus, having won their last five Serie A matches against Samp while scoring at least two goals each time, can afford to rotate their squad and still find the winning formula - taking the first step towards retaining the trophy.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
