Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.