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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
CL

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Cagliari

Gabbiadini (18')
Ekdal (52')
Candreva (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Deiola (55'), Pavoletti (71')
Lovato (32'), Pedro (61'), Carboni (90+1')

We said: Sampdoria 2-1 Cagliari

The Christmas break undoubtedly came at the right time for Cagliari and wrong time for Sampdoria. Nevertheless, we do not feel that it will have any baring on the end result on Thursday, with Sampdoria likely to claim another hard-earned victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawCagliari
57.79%23.76%18.45%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17%52.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55%74.44%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%48.98%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.26%42.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.93%79.07%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 57.78%
    Cagliari 18.45%
    Draw 23.76%
SampdoriaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 57.78%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.57%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.45%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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