Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Hellas Verona and Catanzaro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.