Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
