Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.