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SA
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2021 at 4pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
BN

South Africa
1 - 0
Botswana

Malinga (67')
De Reuck (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohutsiwa (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawBotswana
57.74%27.56%14.7%
Both teams to score 31.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.93%69.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.36%86.64%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65%59.35%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.48%57.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.67%89.33%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 57.73%
    Botswana 14.7%
    Draw 27.55%
South AfricaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 19.88%
2-0 @ 13.87%
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.57%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 57.73%
0-0 @ 14.25%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 14.7%

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