Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.