Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Paris 15 win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Calais Beau-Marais had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Paris 15 win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.16%) and 2-3 (5.07%). The likeliest Calais Beau-Marais win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.