Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beaumont Saint-Cyr win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for SA Merignac had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beaumont Saint-Cyr win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.17%) and 2-3 (5.11%). The likeliest SA Merignac win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.