Danish Superliga | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 4pm UK

Ceres Park

Aarhus
3 - 1
AaB

Mortensen (52', 64'), Yakob (72')
Poulsen (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedersen (76')
Prip (19')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Aalborg BK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
Aarhus	Draw	Aalborg BK
51.3% ( 0.86)	24.23% ( -0.14)	24.47% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

-0.04)

47.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

-0.03)

70.14% (

0.03)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

0.33)

18.7% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.95% (

0.54)

50.05% (

-0.55)

Aalborg BK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.63)

33.94% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.69)

70.61% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Aarhus 51.29%

Aalborg BK 24.47%

Draw 24.22%

Aarhus	Draw	Aalborg BK
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.47%