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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
Nordjyske Arena

AaB
1 - 1
Aarhus

Borsting (76')
Okore (39'), Ferreira (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mortensen (40' pen.)
Poulsen (58'), Olsen (77')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aalborg BK and Aarhus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Aalborg BKDrawAarhus
31.97%25.42%42.61%
Both teams to score 55.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51%48.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38%70.61%
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39%28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.4%
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33%22.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69%56.3%
Score Analysis
    Aalborg BK 31.97%
    Aarhus 42.61%
    Draw 25.42%
Aalborg BKDrawAarhus
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-2 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.61%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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