Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.