Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
