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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 28
Jun 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
2 - 1
Nordsjaelland

Ankersen (45'), Mortensen (45+4')
Poulsen (49'), Ankersen (62'), Lund Hausner (66'), Hojer Nielsen (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sadiq (90')
Deen Sulemana (49'), Phil Chukwuani (90+3')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Nordsjaelland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawNordsjaelland
39.71%25.81%34.47%
Both teams to score 54.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44%49.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41%71.59%
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91%59.09%
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93%63.07%
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 39.71%
    Nordsjaelland 34.47%
    Draw 25.81%
AarhusDrawNordsjaelland
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.63%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.47%


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