Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest SonderjyskE win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aarhus in this match.