Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
