Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hobro win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Esbjerg had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hobro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Esbjerg win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hobro would win this match.