SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aarhus |
55.19% ( -0.46) | 23.19% ( 0.32) | 21.63% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( -1.21) | 46.5% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( -1.15) | 68.78% ( 1.15) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.59) | 16.71% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( -1.07) | 46.61% ( 1.07) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.54) | 35.71% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( -0.56) | 72.49% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.63% |
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