SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for AC Horsens had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest AC Horsens win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | AC Horsens |
43.2% ( -0.21) | 25.71% ( 0) | 31.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.06) | 50.05% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( 0.05) | 72.03% ( -0.06) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.08) | 23.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( -0.11) | 56.89% ( 0.11) |
| AC Horsens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0.17) | 29.98% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( 0.2) | 66.09% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | AC Horsens |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.08% |
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