Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Randers in this match.