SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Viborg FF had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Viborg FF win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viborg FF | Draw | Aarhus |
32.46% ( -0.2) | 27.41% ( 0.04) | 40.13% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.21) | 56.4% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( -0.17) | 77.42% ( 0.17) |
| Viborg FF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( -0.24) | 32.26% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% ( -0.28) | 68.75% ( 0.27) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -0.01) | 27.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -0.02) | 63.03% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viborg FF | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.13% |
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