Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aarhus |
44.66% ( -0.33) | 25.38% ( -0.04) | 29.96% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( 0.35) | 49.13% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( 0.32) | 71.2% ( -0.32) |
FC Midtjylland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.02% ( -0.01) | 21.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.73% ( -0.01) | 55.27% ( 0.01) |
Aarhus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% ( 0.45) | 30.29% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% ( 0.53) | 66.47% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aarhus |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.96% |
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