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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 13, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
LL

Norderstedt
0 - 7
B. Leverkusen


Brown (79')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Bender (4'), Amiri (10', 31'), Alario (12'), Wirtz (21'), Aranguiz (30'), Schick (77')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Eintracht Norderstedt and Bayer Leverkusen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 75.83%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Eintracht Norderstedt had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Eintracht Norderstedt win it was 2-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Eintracht NorderstedtDrawBayer Leverkusen
9.84%14.32%75.83%
Both teams to score 56.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.12%28.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.16%49.83%
Eintracht Norderstedt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44%76.55%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.68%6.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.23%23.77%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Norderstedt 9.84%
    Bayer Leverkusen 75.83%
    Draw 14.32%
Eintracht NorderstedtDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 2.94%
1-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.24%
2-0 @ 1.06%
3-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 9.84%
1-1 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 4.06%
0-0 @ 2.52%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 14.32%
0-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 8.84%
1-3 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 6.96%
0-4 @ 6.12%
1-4 @ 5.62%
2-3 @ 3.74%
0-5 @ 3.38%
1-5 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.58%
0-6 @ 1.56%
1-6 @ 1.43%
2-5 @ 1.43%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 75.83%


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