B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Volland (2')
Baumgartlinger (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Niakhate (68')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga game between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
64.18%	18.83%	16.99%

Both teams to score 60.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59%

33.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.8%

55.2%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12%

9.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.24%

32.76%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21%

32.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65%

69.35%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.18%

Mainz 05 16.99%

Draw 18.83%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 7.47% 3-0 @ 6.7% 4-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.48% Total : 64.18%	1-1 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.83%	1-2 @ 4.66% 0-1 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.99%