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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 7, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Volksstadion Greifswald
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Greifswalder FC
2 - 4
Augsburg

Knechtel (2'), Jovanovic (69')
Knechtel (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Winther (41'), Niederlechner (52'), Jensen (68'), Hahn (80')
Winther (45+4')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Greifswalder FC and Augsburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Greifswalder FC had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Greifswalder FCDrawAugsburg
12.8%17.05%70.15%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.9%34.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.01%55.98%
Greifswalder FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36%38.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62%75.38%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.3%8.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07%29.93%
Score Analysis
    Greifswalder FC 12.8%
    Augsburg 70.15%
    Draw 17.05%
Greifswalder FCDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 3.71%
1-0 @ 3.19%
2-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.53%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.05%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 8.21%
0-3 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 7.76%
0-4 @ 4.98%
1-4 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.69%
0-5 @ 2.44%
1-5 @ 2.32%
2-4 @ 2.25%
2-5 @ 1.1%
0-6 @ 0.99%
1-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 70.15%

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