Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.