SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lubeck had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Lubeck win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lubeck | Draw | Hoffenheim |
14.66% ( 0.12) | 19.1% ( 0) | 66.25% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( 0.25) | 39.59% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( 0.26) | 61.94% ( -0.26) |
| Lubeck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.32) | 39.55% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.77% ( 0.3) | 76.23% ( -0.3) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.88% ( 0.04) | 11.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.09) | 35.54% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lubeck | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.66% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.1% | 0-2 @ 10.6% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 66.24% |
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