Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lubeck had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Lubeck win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.12) 
