Stuttgart need to win more than Hoffenheim, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams here. A draw would make it very nervy for Stuttgart, but Hoffenheim were excellent against Union Berlin last time out, and we are struggling to back them to lose on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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