Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.