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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 14, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Multifunktionsarena Erfurt
AB

RWE
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Engelmann (33')
Grote (49'), Backszat (59'), Kehl-Gomez (67'), Engelmann (73'), Conde (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Prietl (74')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Rot-Weiss Essen and Arminia Bielefeld.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawArminia Bielefeld
16.36%20.12%63.52%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12%40.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73%63.27%
Rot-Weiss Essen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85%38.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09%74.91%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77%12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.07%37.93%
Score Analysis
    Rot-Weiss Essen 16.36%
    Arminia Bielefeld 63.52%
    Draw 20.12%
Rot-Weiss EssenDrawArminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 4.55%
1-0 @ 4.5%
2-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.36%
1-1 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.78%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.12%
0-2 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-1 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 6.95%
0-4 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 3.35%
2-4 @ 1.76%
0-5 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 63.52%


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