Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
Result | ||
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
56.5% | 23% | 20.5% |
Both teams to score 52.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.93% | 47.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.69% | 69.31% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% | 16.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.85% | 46.14% |
Dynamo Dresden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.84% | 37.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.06% | 73.94% |
Score Analysis |
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.93% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.05% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.5% |
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