Although top-flight Augsburg were eliminated by a lower-league side in the DFB-Pokal last season, it would be surprising if they failed to progress past the first round for the second year in a row.
Viktoria Berlin will no doubt look to use set pieces to their advantage, and while they could prove to be stubborn opposition, the visitors' superior quality should see them emerge as victors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 75.31%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Viktoria Berlin had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Viktoria Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
0.64) 
-1.47) 
