SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
76.81% ( 0.62) | 13.29% ( -0.14) | 9.9% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.88) | 22.97% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.78% ( -1.2) | 42.21% ( 1.2) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.08% ( -0.09) | 4.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.28% ( -0.26) | 19.72% ( 0.26) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% ( -1.56) | 35.16% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.09% ( -1.66) | 71.91% ( 1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
| 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.15)5-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.72% Total : 76.81% | 1-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.34% Total : 13.29% | 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.9% |
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