SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 62.22% | 21.12% | 16.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% | 44.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% | 67.19% |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% | 13.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% | 40.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.19% | 76.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.22% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.07% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.65% |
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