Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.