SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 54.89% | 22.75% | 22.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% | 15.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.01% | 44.98% |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.91% | 70.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.54% Total : 54.89% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.36% |
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