Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.