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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
NB

Jong Utrecht
0 - 2
NAC Breda

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Venema (19'), van Hooijdonk (77')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and NAC Breda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
Jong FC UtrechtDrawNAC Breda
26.59%22.74%50.66%
Both teams to score 60.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56%39.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21%61.78%
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72%63.27%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.13%44.87%
Score Analysis
    Jong FC Utrecht 26.59%
    NAC Breda 50.67%
    Draw 22.74%
Jong FC UtrechtDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 6.64%
1-0 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.6%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 5.89%
0-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 3.78%
1-4 @ 2.72%
0-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.67%


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