Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for NEC had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 1-0 (8.04%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%).