Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.