Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.