Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Oss had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Oss win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.