Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.