Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
