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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
ML

Blackpool
3 - 0
Middlesbrough

Connolly (31'), Lavery (77'), Anderson (78')
Ekpiteta (19'), Casey (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morsy (31'), Payero (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
BlackpoolDrawMiddlesbrough
29.17%27.3%43.52%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.93%
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01%34.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27%71.72%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99%26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97%61.03%
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 29.18%
    Middlesbrough 43.52%
    Draw 27.29%
BlackpoolDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 29.18%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 43.52%

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