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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
FG

Brentford
3 - 1
Forest Green

Wissa (60'), Mbeumo (75'), Forss (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aitchison (8')
Adams (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawForest Green Rovers
41.85%27.1%31.06%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4%55.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24%76.76%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.31%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17%32.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 41.85%
    Forest Green Rovers 31.06%
    Draw 27.09%
BrentfordDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.06%

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