Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.