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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
LC

Crewe
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sass-Davies (55')
Dale (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hopper (52'), Montsma (66')
Montsma (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Crewe Alexandra and Lincoln City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLincoln City
50.72%24.16%25.12%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91%47.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67%69.33%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14%49.86%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08%32.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51%69.49%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 50.72%
    Lincoln City 25.12%
    Draw 24.16%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.12%


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