Fleetwood
3 - 2
Wigan

Evans (41', 78'), Morris (64')
Saunders (29')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Garner (2', 31' pen.)
Obi (37'), Evans (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Fleetwood Town and Wigan Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
37.99%	25.95%	36.06%

Both teams to score 54.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02%

49.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04%

71.96%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29%

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37%

60.63%

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.09%

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 37.99%

Wigan Athletic 36.06%

Draw 25.95%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.99%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.06%