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EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 1pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
SU

Gillingham
1 - 0
Southend

Ogilvie (27')
Jackson (39'), O'Keefe (60'), (60')
Jackson (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hobson (25'), White (47'), Hutchinson (56')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Gillingham and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSouthend United
51.94%24.73%23.33%
Both teams to score 50.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94%51.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08%72.91%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36%19.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4%51.6%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56%73.44%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 51.94%
    Southend United 23.33%
    Draw 24.72%
GillinghamDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 9.54%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.33%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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